Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore - Azalea (Blitz)

Azalea

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Amber Zee

152nd • 3-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs James Arthur (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Edward Kim (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Erika Hoffman (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Skyler Lewis (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Kerch (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Alek Idol (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alora Pickering

159th • 3-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Kilpatrick (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kyra Marks (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Price II (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Connor Matza (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Tan (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Leila Green (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Katie Koslosky

164th • 3-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Shafer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kerch (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Sapiel (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Price (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Mara Richard (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Bartoszek (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Brennen Wright (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Alberto Ruiz (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Tara Frederick (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brennen Wright

169th • 1-7-1

100%

Meta

-3.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Mitchel Tobey (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Skewers (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs James Smith (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Draw vs Jonathan Price (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Jeffrey Lang (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Evans

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Erika Hoffman (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

daren smith

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Gates (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Connor Matza (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Matthew Durci

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Alek Idol (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.