Kayo, Berserker Runt at Battle Hardened

Kayo, Berserker Runt

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Kurka

89th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Connor Matza (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Wolford (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Sapiel (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Mitchel Tobey (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alan Chavarin

104th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Alora Pickering (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Michael Crow (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Melson (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Elijah Flanders (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Nathan Gardner (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brian Spangler

145th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Leggett (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Fritts (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jeff Okrasinski (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Sevak Voskerchian (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Price II (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Brandon Flores (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Mara Richard (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Bryson Peek (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Katsu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mara Richard

160th • 3-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Dallas Crumlich (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Natalie Edwards (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Katie Koslosky (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Bryson Peek (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Brian Spangler (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Tatiana Parada (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dylon Brown

dropped • 0-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Cole (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Pollock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Brown (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Justin Carbungco

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brittney Zeller (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.