Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore - Dorinthea (Blitz)

Dorinthea

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sherman Darrenkamp

60th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Jordan Leggett (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Tom Evans (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs benjamin slenczka (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs nicklas starland (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Kyle Mattinson (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Spencer Freeman (Kano) - Expected: 29:71

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joshua Lau

71st • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Kano) - Expected: 29:71

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Ward (Chane) - Expected: 21:79

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Michael Crow (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs SPENCER BIELEWICZ (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Patrick Shaw (Rhinar) - Expected: 77:23

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Brandon Fields (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Bellotti (Kano) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.29
R8	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Kano	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.81

Felipe Costa Batista

119th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Nick Kiourkas (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jason Cole (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs David Brannen (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Crow

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jake Ausdemore (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Snyder (Chane) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

75:25

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Chane	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.35
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dain Smith

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kano) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Blitz	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.