Briar at Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore
Briar
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Gatta (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Gates (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Travis Woodward (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 5: Win vs nathan lapham (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
40:60
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
R7
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Prism | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Yoji, Royal Protector | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism | 40% | Loss |
41st • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Robert Abril (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Gates (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Freeman (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Seth Shepard (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Kyler Dustin (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Owen Young (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Elijah Flanders (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
45th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Dylon Brown (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Nick Kiourkas (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
25:75
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Berserker Runt | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dash | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
83rd • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Rachel Webb (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Freeman (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Jeerod Balangan (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Long Dao (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Justin Matlack (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
25:75
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Kilpatrick (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Bowers (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas McPherson (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Ravi Nehra (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Chane | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Prism | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Spangler (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Smith (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Evan Ayer (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Eric Shoopman (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs RONNY MARTIN (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Shawn Sapiel (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Berserker Runt | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Sevak Voskerchian (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Frank Reinschreiber (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
25:75
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Graham Molsick (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Diana Myers (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs nicklas starland (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Chad Emerick (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Oliver (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Erick Boeder (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
25:75
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs nathan lapham (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Marvin Dominguez (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
25:75
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Iyslander) - Expected: 25:75
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Bowers (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Benji, the Piercing Wind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Wolford (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Chiechi (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Mara Richard (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Berserker Runt | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs benjamin slenczka (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Fritts (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Lee Conner (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs William Renninger (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Fred Bird (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.