Levia at Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore

Levia

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nicholas Mejac

135th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs joseph lawson (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs William OBrien (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Serena Bailey (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Will Rea (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Justin Cardoza (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Zac Manmiller (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jordan Blankenship

140th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Fred Bird (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Dallas Weart (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Erika Hoffman (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tristan Mitchell

dropped • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Tara Frederick (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Smith (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Schutter (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kerch (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Matt Mills (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Bartoszek (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Tatiana Parada (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.