Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore - Dromai (Blitz)

Dromai

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dustin Schutz

98th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Peter Zsiga (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Schutter (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Remington Aalbers (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Charles Simmons (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jason Cole

100th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Dylon Brown (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Seibert (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Wagoner (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Airton dos Santos Junior

162nd • 3-5-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Draw vs Jesse Machusak (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Donovan Wilcox (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Zac Manmiller (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Skyler Lewis (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Price (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jesse Machusak

dropped • 2-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Scott Egan (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Brennen Wright (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Draw vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Leila Green (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs June Aino (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Brett Merold (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Uzuri	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Serena Bailey

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Nam Vo (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Donald Kell (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Shaffer (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Robert Westergaard (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.