Battle Hardened - Pro Tour: Baltimore - Arakni, Solitary Confinement (Blitz)

Arakni, Solitary Confinement

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Austin Redington

102nd • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Bellotti (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Nam Vo (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Sean Davis (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Kyle Nunn (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Diana Myers (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joshua Korovesi

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Westergaard (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Peter Zsiga (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs James Arthur (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Wagoner (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Letourneau

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Keenan Morris (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Nunn (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Fields (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.