Fai at Sunday Showdown: Kansas City 2026

Fai

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Naib Mobassir

47th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Chane) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dylan Arnold (Briar) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Brannick (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Buster Sexton (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Joseph Wenger (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Billal Mahmoud (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Michael Gohl (Oldhim) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.63
R4	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.85
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.66
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.42

Tyler Duggan

54th • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Austin "Ozz" Barta (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Indie Hansen (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Garrett Williams (Enigma) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Luke Manship (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Christiano Cavallo (Briar) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Seon Tompkins (Iyslander) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.13
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.47
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Travis Yeo

64th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Moore (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael Dahm (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Stephanie Hine (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Gardner (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dustin De Loach (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 59:41

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Larry Durham (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Billal Mahmoud (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.56
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75

Kyle Carrington

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Trey Herring (Briar) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs EVAN SERRAGE (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Neal B (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Siegfried (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs David Dandikar (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.24
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.86
R6	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Matthew Greenleaf

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Blackmore (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gregory Smith (Briar) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gil Beloate (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Timothy Hickman III (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kirby Hill (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 59:41

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Shehan (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.56
R3	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.63
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Carter Sissell

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Greg Gutierrez (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sean Baker (Iyslander) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zackary Young (Chane) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Blake Freeman

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Joseph Wenger (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Cody Blackmore (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bader (Chane) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Hine (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.28
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R4	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Matt Campbell

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Timothy Hickman III (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Briar) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Minh Tran (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ender Hansen (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Timothy Hickman III

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Campbell (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Martin Cox (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 59:41

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Luke Leonard (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

EVAN SERRAGE

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs JACOB BOWEN (Chane) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Carrington (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dan Mui

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Hollermann (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Dastas

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.