Azalea at Sunday Showdown: Kansas City 2026

Azalea

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Steven Cawyer

34th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Serrage (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael Dong (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jaryd Beebe (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Logan King (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Teddy Olson (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Christopher Shehan

41st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Elijah Marshall (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Henneous (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Billal Mahmoud (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Riddell (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Indie Hansen (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Jerome Trujillo

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Indie Hansen (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ty Hicks (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Phillip Spader (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tony Stobbe (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Shimon Dasgupta (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.56
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.74
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Victor Nguyen

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Garrett Williams (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.