Dash at Sunday Showdown: Kansas City 2026

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3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Dong

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dustin De Loach (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Sorensen (Briar) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Schumacher (Briar) - Expected: 20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Maggert (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs PJ Kelley (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jason Brannick

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Neal B (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Marc Hansen (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Stephanie Hine

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Brian Kenyon (Briar) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Briar) - Expected: 20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.58
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.