Florian at Sunday Showdown: Kansas City 2026

Florian

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Larry Durham

48th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Trip Hargrove (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Cody Gibson (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Briar) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Schumacher (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Henneous (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Travis Yeo (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Marc Hansen (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.75
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mason Taylor

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Beam (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Seon Tompkins (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alex Ford (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Cody Blackmore (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jamie Seaborn (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andy Tran

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Riddell (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.