Terra at Sunday Showdown: Kansas City 2026

Terra

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Phillip Millwee

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs DANIEL WILLIAMS (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Lyle (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

William Marshall

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zackary Young (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nate Kimbrel (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chad Garr

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Donovan Mitchell (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Greg Gutierrez

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Carter Sissell (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.