Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
6.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Callum Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Thomas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Teague (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 8: Win vs Petter Olsson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Paul A Wright (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Richard Carr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
10th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Hazell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ed Kennan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
11th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Teague (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
90:10
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Anatoly Mukhin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
17th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jules Dixon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Ward (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
38th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Evans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Loss |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
20th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
28th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finn Baird (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob Catton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
47th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs James Earle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Thomas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Loss vs David Watt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
50th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Robert Catling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kera Banning (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
55th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Seb Ball (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
56th • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Akers (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Saarela (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Finn Baird (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Josh Keys (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Saarela (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sarah Howes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Dan York (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Evans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anatoly Mukhin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Callum Birkett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Webb (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Pauley (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felix Elias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kera Banning (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Clark (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.