National Championship 2026 - United Kingdom - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Petter Olsson

16th • 6-1-0

86%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sara van Reeken (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul A Wright (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Stuart Turner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ed Kennan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.43
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.19
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.36
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.07

Stuart Turner

36th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Webb (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Fejer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs David McAllan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.26
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.74
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.30

Daniel Saarela

40th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Tom Ward (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.72
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.88
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.30

Antonis Kazouris

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Milosz Sankowski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Calf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

Sara van Reeken

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stuart Clark (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.34
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.77

Emlyn Ingram

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Harbinson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Akers (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Marcus Archer

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oliver Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josh Keys (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.84
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.