Zyggy Starlight
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Smith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Declan Patrick (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs robert john hall (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
6.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Rencen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Ward (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Felix Elias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Emel Walsh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 5% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Coates (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Thomas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ed Kennan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jules Dixon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Collins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.