Fai, Rising Rebellion
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Carr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ed Kennan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs James Earle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Saarela (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
44th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Callum Birkett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Frazer Eastman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Stuart Turner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
52nd • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Craig Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Loss vs Sarah Howes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Samuel Thomas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Rosemin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stuart Turner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs George Jones (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Harbinson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Howes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phil Mead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David McAllan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Osama MacDonald (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Smith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Rosemin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.