Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Callum Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Declan Patrick (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 8: Loss vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 10: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
48th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Declan Macewan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Win vs Sam Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
25th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wyn Davies-Batista (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
43rd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Smith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ben Lux (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
53rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Catling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Clark (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Appleby (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lotara Norris (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Saarela (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Clark (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Murray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frazer Eastman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David McAllan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Seb Ball (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan McVean (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Lux (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Saarela (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Lux (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Greenaway (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan McVean (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Thomas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.