FaB-Results
Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Finlay Freir
2nd • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jess Swandale (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Dash I/O
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Dash I/O
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Richard Carr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Radoslav Ogoryalkov
54th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Towsey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan McVean (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
Zyggy Starlight
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sam Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ben McConnochie (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Alan Bainbridge
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Izzy Staniforth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jess Swandale (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Bayford (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Kevin Appleby
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ed Cardall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Callum Birkett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben McConnochie (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Milosz Sankowski
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Earle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Seb Ball
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Collins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Elias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Adam Collins
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seb Ball (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Fejer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Zyggy Starlight
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Izzy Staniforth
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phil Mead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.