National Championship 2026 - United Kingdom - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Anton Cid Mejias

5th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Richard Carr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R8	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.12
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	2.41
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Richard Carr

5th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

5.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Ward (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Callum Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R8	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	2.17
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.11
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

James Earle

21st • 7-0-0

100%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

4.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Milosz Sankowski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rob Catton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Tom Ward (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.91
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.05
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.16

Kyle Mullings

24th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Greenaway (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Towsey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Watt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.55
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.38
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Scott "HowlingMines" Mines

26th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Fejer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Moore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs James Earle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Declan Patrick (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.22
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.97
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.76
R9	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Ed Cardall

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Appleby (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josh Keys (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Towsey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Marco Casadio

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stuart Reeve (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Akers (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wyn Davies-Batista (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Ben Emmanuel

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Felix Elias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Pauley (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eric Edmond

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stuart Clark (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Catling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Price (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Maciej Walenczykowski

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Milosz Sankowski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.