FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at National Championship 2026 - United Kingdom

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Konrad Paziewski
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mike Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Calf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Osama MacDonald
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyn Davies-Batista (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kate Dunstone (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Katsu, the Wanderer
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Webb (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.