Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Webb (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Round 3: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Round 9: Win vs Kera Banning (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Robert Catling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.