Arakni, Marionette at National Championship 2026 - China
Arakni, Marionette
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
60%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
6.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs YIZHENG CHEN (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 张 恩宁 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jincheng zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bangliang Liu (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jiabin Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jiabin Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bangliang Liu (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
3rd • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hovin Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Weizhen Qin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Deng Pan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 快乐 长存 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs kaiwei wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs lin ruoyang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
47th • 5-1-1
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lingyang Zhou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 老抽 王 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Weiqi Zhou (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jiabin Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs lee peng (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs lianze Xiao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
13th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shuyang zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 罗 贵熙 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jade Zhou (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xinyu Gu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs lin ruoyang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs sumi han (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
21st • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs wang su (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 超 陆 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gan Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Weiqi Zhou (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lingyang Zhou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hao Miao (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs jincheng zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
33rd • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs pun yuicheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xufeng Liu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Moran Zhuang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 魏 文彬 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs yang yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Chunan Xiong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs HAODONG SUN (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
48th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 可暄 赵 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zhengyuan Duan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YINLI GU (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yongliang Ding (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hao Miao (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Fu junming (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Weizhen Qin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
45th • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs zhang chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daixin Zhuang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zhengyuan Duan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 老抽 王 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Judge John (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 至上 王 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
28th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mingyu Feng (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs hc c (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Weimu Song (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs 至上 王 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 快乐 长存 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs pun yuicheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
36th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yongliang Ding (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mind Goblin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs weizhe zheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs HAN Xintong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs jihang zhou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 老抽 王 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Judge John (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
41st • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard LYU (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 快乐 长存 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zhengjia Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wen Jun Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs jihang zhou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs kaiwei wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
50th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 超 陆 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Qiu Wenyang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 雨 谷 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs jihang zhou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Richard LYU (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs lee peng (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs cod burger (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
60th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yang yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lin Yancheng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs batian zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Runcheng Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fu junming (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs zhiqi xiao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
42nd • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sihong Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zhengjia Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 张 恩宁 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs hc c (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cheng Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hovin Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Round 10: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
64th • 0-7-0
86%
Meta
-4.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs jihang zhou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs zijun Guo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs milk dragon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xiao Xiao (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs cod burger (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs zhiqi xiao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 10: Loss vs Zihao Zhang (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-4.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zhengjia Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs HAOXUE LIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs jihang zhou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 张 希远 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs batian zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Xiyu Cai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-1
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs HAN Xintong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fu junming (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yiyuan Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-1
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Qiu Wenyang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs dean zhong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zhipeng Sun (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jade Zhou (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cheng Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hongbo Zhao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Zihan Xu (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.