National Championship 2026 - China - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

zhengwen zhao

5th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs lin ruoyang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs pun yuicheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs JIA NIAN WANG (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs cod burger (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs HAOXUE LIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Li GongXu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Gan Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.15
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.48
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.20
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.03
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.89
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

张恩宁

32nd • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

5.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs milk dragon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs hongkun jiang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xiyu Cai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 张希远 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lingyang Zhou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Zihan Xu (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.00
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.66
R10	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.48

hc c

14th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs YINLI GU (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kaiwei wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lingyang Zhou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs hongkun jiang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Zhengyuan Duan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs batian zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs 钧楷王 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.18
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.53
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.56
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.57

shuyang zhao

26th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Li GongXu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 钧楷王 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 傲郭 (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Xinyu Gu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs HAN Xintong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.17
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.02

Yongliang Ding

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs HAODONG SUN (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bangjian You (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs BINGO 景 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.65
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Qiu Wenyang

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xicheng Wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs yang yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wen Jun Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wendi Zhang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.22

Bridge Big

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gan Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xufeng Liu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zihao Zhang (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

思陈

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 小龙时刻 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs lin ruoyang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs zhiqi xiao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hovin Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

雨谷

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hongbo Zhao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs DAN DAN (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs yang yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tang Li (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.