National Championship 2026 - China - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

lin ruoyang

19th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 思陈 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Xiao Xiao (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs sumi han (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Li GongXu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

80:20

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs 可暄赵 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.47
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Zhipeng Sun

dropped • 2-3-1

83%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs dean zhong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mingyu Feng (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Xicheng Wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Tianyu Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

80:20

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 至上王 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs 张希远 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

dean zhong

dropped • 1-1-2

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zhipeng Sun (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Xicheng Wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Mind Goblin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daixin Zhuang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Draw	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Wendi Zhang

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.1

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Runcheng Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Zihan Xu (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Qiu Wenyang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.09
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.