Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

54th 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 梓帆 陈 (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
Zyggy Starlight
95:5
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bangliang Liu (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bao mh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 张 恩宁 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Huntsman
!
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zhipeng Sun (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hovin Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
34th 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daixin Zhuang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bao mh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Valda, Seismic Impact
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yiyang Song (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mingyu Feng (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cheng Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 可暄 赵 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-1-2
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs milk dragon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Shiyang Shen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Valda, Seismic Impact
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs 梓帆 陈 (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
dropped 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs cod burger (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs weizhe zheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs YIZHENG CHEN (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs zijun Guo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
dropped 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xinyu Gu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jincheng zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Valda, Seismic Impact
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs jingzhe zhao (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 雨 谷 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.