National Championship 2026 - China - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

jincheng zhang

11th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs remilia scarlet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tang Li (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hongbo Zhao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 可暄赵 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lin Yancheng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.44
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.32
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.27

Xiyu Cai

39th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zhengyuan Duan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sihong Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daixin Zhuang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 张恩宁 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Bao mh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Weimu Song (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.25
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.14
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

batian zhang

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xingyu ZHOU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs zhiqi xiao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 超陆 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs lee peng (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bao mh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs hc c (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.13
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.18
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

remilia scarlet

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs jincheng zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zihao Zhang (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs yin yue (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs wang su (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.