Vynnset, Iron Maiden
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 刘 迪 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs jihang zhou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs lianze Xiao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs shuyang zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs jincheng zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yiyuan Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs kaibin duan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs cod burger (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Judge John (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs sumi han (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
30th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 傲 郭 (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard LYU (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bridge Big (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wen Jun Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 8: Win vs Chunan Xiong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 钧楷 王 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
46th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs zhang chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xinyu Gu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 思 陈 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs HAN Xintong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs hongkun jiang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 张 希远 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
59th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 可暄 赵 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs zhiqi xiao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 超 陆 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs BINGO 景 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Moran Zhuang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs hongkun jiang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xiyu Cai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HAN Xintong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.