Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

钧楷王

22nd • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mind Goblin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 小龙时刻 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs shuyang zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs tianzhu Wei (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs HAODONG SUN (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Xufeng Liu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs hc c (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

cod burger

56th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shiyang Shen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs tianzhu Wei (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jiabin Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sol Ring (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Zihao Zhang (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs yang yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.03
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.55
R9	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Weizhen Qin

53rd • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs zhiqi xiao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs sumi han (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mind Goblin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 梓帆陈 (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs BINGO 景 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.