National Championship 2026 - China - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Weiqi Zhou

31st • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

5.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fu junming (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wendi Zhang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Judge John (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lin Yancheng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 小龙时刻 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Weizhen Qin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs hongkun jiang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.78
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.04
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	2.17

Xinyu Gu

20th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tang Li (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs lee peng (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hovin Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Li GongXu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs sumi han (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs shuyang zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs wang su (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.06
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.16
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Xiangjun Dai

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 魏文彬 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 傲郭 (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs DAN DAN (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Deng Pan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.56
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.