Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2026

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wen Jun Zheng

29th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs li shuo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Deng Pan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Qiu Wenyang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xufeng Liu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs pun yuicheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs wang su (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hao Miao (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.06
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.67
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.33
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R10	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43

sumi han

17th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 快乐长存 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xiao Xiao (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Weizhen Qin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs lin ruoyang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Xinyu Gu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jiabin Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Li GongXu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.11
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.73
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Lingyang Zhou

51st • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Judge John (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs jingzhe zhao (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs hc c (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lin Yancheng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs 张恩宁 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Chunan Xiong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.44
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

宇田龚

dropped • 2-1-1

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Zihan Xu (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 老抽王 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs yinfei li (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	20%	Draw	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Deng Pan

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tianyu Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wen Jun Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

JIA NIAN WANG

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs jin liu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bangjian You (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.11
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

YINLI GU

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs hc c (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs yinfei li (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs BINGO 景 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs DAN DAN (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.46

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.