Aurora, Legacy of Tempest at National Championship 2026 - China
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zihan Xu (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs sumi han (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs lin ruoyang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sol Ring (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.