Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 6-1-0
57%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yinfei li (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Bridge Big (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lin Yancheng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hao Miao (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 快乐 长存 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zhengjia Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs zhengwen zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
25th • 5-0-2
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 罗 贵熙 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jade Zhou (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kaiwei wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zhengyuan Duan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs wang su (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Xingyu ZHOU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Xiyu Cai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Draw |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Draw |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
24th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chunan Xiong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs yinfei li (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs hongkun jiang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Win vs HAOXUE LIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Zhengyuan Duan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
38th • 2-4-1
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Gabriel Wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 魏 文彬 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sihong Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hovin Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs shuyang zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
55th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 思 陈 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 钧楷 王 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 可暄 赵 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kaibin duan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Moran Zhuang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 10: Loss vs 梓帆 陈 (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
63rd • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Weizhen Qin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs batian zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 思 陈 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Fu junming (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yiyang Song (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sol Ring (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 超 陆 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-1
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Deng Pan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yiyuan Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Zhipeng Sun (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Draw |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 雨 谷 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Haotian Dong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs jincheng zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chunan Xiong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yin yue (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Jiabin Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hao Miao (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 小龙 时刻 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jiabin Chen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs zhang chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Wang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs HAODONG SUN (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shiyang Shen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wentao Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Moran Zhuang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kaibin duan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs remilia scarlet (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs zhang chu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs HAN Xintong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard LYU (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs lianze Xiao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Hovin Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yiyuan Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs yin yue (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs JIA NIAN WANG (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wen Jun Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.