Olympia, Prized Fighter at National Championship 2026 - China
Olympia, Prized Fighter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
37th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 老抽 王 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Runcheng Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kaibin duan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gan Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs BINGO 景 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lin Yancheng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Wen Jun Zheng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.