National Championship 2026 - China - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Liang Zhaoyuan

5th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bridge Big (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs yin yue (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zihao Zhang (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 89:11

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lingyang Zhou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Zhengjia Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.06
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R11	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Zhengyuan Duan

12th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Xiyu Cai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs BINGO 景 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs lianze Xiao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Weimu Song (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs hc c (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Cheng Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.04
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.48
R9	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.87

Zhengjia Liu

10th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bao mh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs hongkun jiang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 傲郭 (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs pun yuicheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Gan Yan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs 老抽王 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.01

Chunan Xiong

44th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cheng Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs wang su (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hongbo Zhao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Xufeng Liu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Richard LYU (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lingyang Zhou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.37
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.75
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.99

Xingyu ZHOU

35th • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs batian zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shuyang zhao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs tianzhu Wei (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs milk dragon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 傲郭 (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Draw vs Weimu Song (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Xufeng Liu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.04
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R8	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.22
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Draw	✗	0.40	-
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.