Dash I/O at Calling: São Paulo 2026

Dash I/O

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pedro Lecey Opitz

5th • 10-3-0

85%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Vecchi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Lewis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Raul Nascimento (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.07
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.14
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.36
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.92
R7	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.53
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.57
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.70
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.76
R13	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Rafael Miller

34th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.4

Surp

5.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Luiz Filipe Rodrigues (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

70:30

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.52
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.50
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.67
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.44
R12	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.35

David Carvalho

dropped • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Morelli Junior (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fabio Aurelio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Feliz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Zack Maher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.43
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.16
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.21
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.31
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.74
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

André Rafael Chagas Godoy

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs João Borges (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.14
R3	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.36
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.48

David Lewis

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zé Luis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thiago Camargo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs santiago kitashima (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs João Victor Silva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.59
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.81
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Rafael De Melo

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Miranda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Moraes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Renan Salomao (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gian Moreira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.53
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Thayna Minuzzo

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Coutinho Neto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Merenda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bernardo Basilio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Diego Ampudia

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mathias Medina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thales Paiva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marcos Vinicius Rezende Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Átila Lima (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eduardo Rezende Natalino (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Fernando Falquetto

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Augusto Belo Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs santiago kitashima (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vitor Castro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Felipe Soares Sa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gustavo Rocha (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.53
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.68
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.11

Rafael Barros

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vitor Castro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcos Dantas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Renan Salomao (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 31:69

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Lucas Miranda

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Fonseca (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas De Souza (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.24
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Lucas Mirachi

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Raphael Marinho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Danny Mesias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs VITOR VANACOR (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Draw	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Bruno Cebollada

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fabio Nozza (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Breno Santos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Renan Pamplona (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.69
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Ricardo Albuquerque

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Heitor Martins (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gustavo Rogê (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Thomaz Sardinha

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Albuquerque (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antonio Brust (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.51

Alvaro Lima

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs João Vitor Borges Guedes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.