Dash I/O at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Dash I/O
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
85%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pedro Vecchi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Lewis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raul Nascimento (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
34th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luiz Filipe Rodrigues (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Round 10: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Morelli Junior (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabio Aurelio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Feliz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Round 6: Win vs Zack Maher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs João Borges (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zé Luis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Round 2: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thiago Camargo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs santiago kitashima (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs João Victor Silva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Miranda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Moraes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Renan Salomao (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gian Moreira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Coutinho Neto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Merenda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bernardo Basilio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathias Medina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thales Paiva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcos Vinicius Rezende Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Átila Lima (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eduardo Rezende Natalino (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Augusto Belo Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs santiago kitashima (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Vitor Castro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felipe Soares Sa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Gustavo Rocha (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vitor Castro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcos Dantas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Renan Salomao (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Fonseca (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas De Souza (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raphael Marinho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danny Mesias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs VITOR VANACOR (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabio Nozza (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Breno Santos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Renan Pamplona (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Heitor Martins (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Gustavo Rogê (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Albuquerque (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Brust (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Vitor Borges Guedes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.