Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: São Paulo 2026

Valda, Seismic Impact

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

João Vitor Borges Guedes

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Basilio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alvaro Lima (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.36
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Saulo Marx Paiva

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zack Maher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

João Lucas Dalaqua

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Claudio Rosse Pandolfi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Rezende Natalino (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.