Calling: São Paulo 2026 - Valda, Seismic Impact (CC)

Valda, Seismic Impact

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

João Vitor Borges Guedes

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Basilio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alvaro Lima (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 14:86

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.27
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.27
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Saulo Marx Paiva

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zack Maher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65

95:5

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	95%	Win	✓	0.07	0.06
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.40
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

João Lucas Dalaqua

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Claudio Rosse Pandolfi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Rezende Natalino (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.