Prism, Awakener of Sol
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Nishimura (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs William Barreto Filho (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs guilherme esteves de sá (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Coutinho Neto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Conrado Fortunato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Raphael Barrese (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
48th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs João Marin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Colaco (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mateus Batista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Conrado Fortunato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs João Lucas Dalaqua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Zé Luis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RODRIGO SALVATTE (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Ramírez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs guilherme esteves de sá (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felipe Rita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Miranda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomás Penchel (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefano Macarini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joaquìn Figueroa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Thunder_red (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Fernando Falquetto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Willian Gasparin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felipe Samberg (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Pereira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Moraes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matheus Luna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Basilio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs YURI PIMENTEL (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Miguel Ardovino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 24:76
Round 3: Win vs Roberto Cardoso (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Makai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Diego Velazquez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs João Lucas Dalaqua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Fabris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Saulo Marx Paiva (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lívia Pejon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Alan Souza (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Merenda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.