Vynnset, Iron Maiden
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 11-4-0
27%
Meta
+4.4
Perf
7.5
Surp
5.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas De Marco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Breno Santos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Luís Mateus Bossi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 6: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 14: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
27% (4/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
31%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
7.1
Surp
6.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Roberto Cardoso (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 11: Win vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Coutinho Neto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Renan Albino da Cunha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rogelio Passafaro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs VITOR VANACOR (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Alves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matheus Moreira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs victor giovannini (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas De Marco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Eluan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thiago Camargo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Brandt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Feliz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Átila Lima (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raul Nascimento (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs RODRIGO SALVATTE (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fernando Falquetto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joao Morato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Lewis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yui Kitagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Miguel Ardovino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs YURI PIMENTEL (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.