Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: São Paulo 2026

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

32 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva

1st • 13-2-0

73%

Meta

+5.5

Perf

7.4

Surp

6.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nick Yori (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Guimarães (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

73% (11/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

7.4 total deviation

Difficulty

6.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.26
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.27
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.64
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.88
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R15	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Ian Geraldi Cordeiro

3rd • 10-4-0

79%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

6.7

Surp

4.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vinicius Rezende Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Augusto Belo Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs João Brandt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Darcy Camargo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.47
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.23
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.58
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.80
R12	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.60
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexandre Castanheira

10th • 9-3-0

83%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gian Moreira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.50
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues

13th • 9-3-0

75%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.7

Surp

4.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Rogê (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs LUCAS Dias (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Diego Velazquez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.08
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.09
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.95
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.21

Paul van Gijssel

18th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs João Borges (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Renan Salomao (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Rogê (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Roberto Oliveira (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Darcy Camargo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.09
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.12
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.65
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.76
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.01
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rodrigo Mesquita

22nd • 8-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gian Moreira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Felipe Soares Sa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matheus Moreira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Vinicius Timm Toniazzo

25th • 8-4-0

92%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Felipe Soares Sa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nick Yori (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs João Brandt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.05
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Thiago Lomba

35th • 7-5-0

58%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

6.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Raphael Barrese (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.10
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.76
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Daniel Preciado Espitia

50th • 7-5-0

92%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs victor giovannini (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs João Victor Silva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs RODRIGO SALVATTE (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.38
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.21
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

RODOLPHO ETINGER

dropped • 5-5-0

70%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vinicius Nishimura (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs João Marin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs João Borges (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matheus Luna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs XANDRE BORGES (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Diego Camargo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs victor giovannini (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Antonio Coutinho Neto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (5.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.33
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.19
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.19
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.45
R8	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Mateus Batista

dropped • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roberto Cardoso (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Breno Santos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rafael Sarubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.07
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.13
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.87
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Bernardo Coelho

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luís Mateus Bossi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs GINALDO Junior (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.46
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Enzo Bigodeiro

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joaquín González Vandam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs victor giovannini (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Breno Pejon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thales Paiva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rafael Barros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

Lucas Izumi

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Diego Velazquez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs XANDRE BORGES (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zack Maher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Conrado Fortunato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.86
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Marcos Vinicius Rezende Silva

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Laerte Cursino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zé Luis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Diego Ampudia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pedro Augusto Mendes de Negreiros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Nestor Mendoza

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Barros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs João Foltran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Miguel Jensen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ocimar Couto

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Miguel Silva (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pedro Augusto Mendes de Negreiros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Augusto Pinho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Eduardo Melo

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomás Penchel (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lívia Pejon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.04
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.13
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gian Moreira

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arthur Merenda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Tozato (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stefano Macarini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Alves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eduardo Costa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Joao Morato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.73
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Joaquìn Figueroa

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zack Maher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Zambelli Tello (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs João Pereira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Evandro Campos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gabriel Fonseca (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Pedro Gradella

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs André Lim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lauro Aguiar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Claudio Rosse Pandolfi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.09
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

guilherme esteves de sá

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Fonseca (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Willian Gasparin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs John Hurtado (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Heitor Martins (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Raul Nascimento (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Breno Pejon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.13
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Eduardo Costa

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fabio Nozza (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Eluan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Alves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.10
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thales Paiva

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Diego Ampudia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lívia Pejon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Danton Lima (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.21
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lucas Gomes

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raphael Gaspar (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Silva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs YURI PIMENTEL (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Conrado Fortunato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.28
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Joaquín González Vandam

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Nathan Barbosa de Oliveira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Yori (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.61
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Thiago Camargo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raphael Marinho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Moraes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Lewis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Átila Lima (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

igor pinheiro

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raimen Lopes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Leonardo Guimarães (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yui Kitagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.08
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Lucas Sobral

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Breno Pejon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Miguel Ardovino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Thyago Bumussa

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Rogê (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Reis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Vinicius Souza

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Guilherme De Deus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luiz Filipe Rodrigues (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.