Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Arakni, Huntsman
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joaquìn Figueroa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Breno Pejon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Miguel Jensen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Antonio Coutinho Neto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
27th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Felipe Rita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Miguel Jensen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 91:9
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs RODRIGO SALVATTE (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs DANIEL DE MENEZES (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Geraldo Amorim (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joaquìn Figueroa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Eluan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Feliz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Santana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Palamoni (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Felipe Soares Sa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matheus Luna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Lívia Pejon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs lucas barbosa (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yui Kitagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Loss vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.