Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Reis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Barros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Felipe Aluoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Makai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felipe Aluoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas De Souza (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GINALDO Junior (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Mirachi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Roberto Oliveira (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 91:9
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joaquìn Figueroa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Saulo Marx Paiva (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 7:93
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Janousek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Pereira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Guilherme De Deus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ocimar Couto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabio Nozza (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.