Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs João Brandt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Loss vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Conrado Fortunato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Diego Camargo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 12: Win vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
56th • 5-7-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
6.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Fabris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaina Gimenez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Eduardo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gian Moreira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Raul Nascimento (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs DANIEL DE MENEZES (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Round 10: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Miguel Jensen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roosevelt Villela (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Souza (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Haniel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guilherme De Deus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs João Pereira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Marconato (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joaquín González Vandam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matheus Moreira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pedro Vecchi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.