Calling: São Paulo 2026 - Katsu, the Wanderer (CC)

Katsu, the Wanderer

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tales de Mesquita Simioni

49th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs João Brandt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Conrado Fortunato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Diego Camargo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.25
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.22

Arthur Rocha

56th • 5-7-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

6.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Fabris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kaina Gimenez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bruno Eduardo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gian Moreira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Raul Nascimento (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs DANIEL DE MENEZES (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (5.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.38
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Vinicius Borges

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Miguel Jensen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roosevelt Villela (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.34
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.78
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Bruno Eduardo

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alan Souza (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Haniel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Guilherme De Deus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs João Pereira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Nick Yori

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bruno Marconato (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joaquín González Vandam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.91

WEVERSON OLIVEIRA

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matheus Moreira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pedro Vecchi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.