Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+4.4
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Macarini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diego Velazquez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Augusto Mendes de Negreiros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Silva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
16th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Nestor Mendoza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Breno Pejon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matheus Moreira (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Win vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
57th • 5-6-1
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felipe Aluoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Ramírez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Breno Pejon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 8: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs João Brandt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Janousek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Thales Paiva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diego Velazquez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs victor giovannini (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-1
78%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Moraes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Diego Camargo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Mirachi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Win vs Claudio Rosse Pandolfi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs IGOR MARREIRO LUCENA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Santana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Makai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs YURI PIMENTEL (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Yori (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs João Vitor Borges Guedes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arthur Merenda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Ramírez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Filipe Rodrigues (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs André Lim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Miguel Ardovino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lauro Aguiar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antonio Coutinho Neto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Fabris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs guilherme esteves de sá (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Vitor Borges Guedes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roberto Oliveira (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Fabio Aurelio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Roosevelt Villela (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Miranda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Fonseca (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Round 5: Win vs Alan Souza (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Claudio Rosse Pandolfi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stefano Macarini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Contreras (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonardo Guimarães (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Sobral (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Artur Campos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas De Marco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roosevelt Villela (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lauro Aguiar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs João Victor Bohrer Munhoz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Fonseca (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-6-0
50%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Átila Lima (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fernando Falquetto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Felipe Samberg (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Carlos Tovar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Nathan Barbosa de Oliveira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Fonseca (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matheus Luna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Lucas de Figueiredo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Murilo Ronsoni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Loss vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs João Eduardo Cardoso Pinheiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs VITOR VANACOR (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roosevelt Villela (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zé Luis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Loss vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Henrique Liberal (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Bortolucci (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabio Nozza (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs Zé Luis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thiago Camargo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Flores (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Mirachi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.