Puffin, Hightail
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
54th • 6-6-0
8%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Augusto Mendes de Negreiros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Sobral (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Renan Pamplona (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Barros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Diego Velazquez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
8% (1/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas De Marco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diego Camargo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Claudio Rosse Pandolfi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carlos Tovar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Gomes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Xisto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evandro Campos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fabio Aurelio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs LUCAS Dias (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Foltran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabio Aurelio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.