Puffin, Hightail at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Puffin, Hightail
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
54th • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Augusto Mendes de Negreiros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Sobral (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Renan Pamplona (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Barros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Diego Velazquez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas De Marco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diego Camargo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Claudio Rosse Pandolfi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carlos Tovar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Gomes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Xisto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evandro Campos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fabio Aurelio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs LUCAS Dias (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Foltran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabio Aurelio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.