
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 2: Win vs Miguel Silva (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Raul Carlin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.