Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: São Paulo 2026

Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

Dash I/O

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Cebollada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo Costa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Miguel Silva (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs LUCAS Dias (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Guilherme De Deus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

Arakni, Marionette

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rafael Sarubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.32
R5	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.78

Martin Rodriguez

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Alves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Guimarães (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Makai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.45
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.51
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

dropped • 3-3-1

43%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs João Eduardo Cardoso Pinheiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

Arakni, Huntsman

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs João Foltran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thales Paiva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Raul Carlin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

Arakni, Marionette

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Danny Mesias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.01
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

dropped • 2-4-1

43%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mateus Batista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

Puffin, Hightail

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carlos Ramírez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luiz Filipe Rodrigues (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

Dorinthea Ironsong

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44

Dash I/O

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Fang, Dracai of Blades

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Vitor Castro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.61
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Draw	✓	0.69	-

Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira

dropped • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Dash I/O

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Mirachi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43

Arakni, Marionette

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Flores (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Dorinthea Ironsong

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Danny Mesias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Arthur Merenda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs guilherme esteves de sá (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.36
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.42
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs igor pinheiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Makai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Fai, Rising Rebellion

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.