Kassai of the Golden Sand
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Cebollada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo Costa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Miguel Silva (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs LUCAS Dias (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 95:5
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Guilherme De Deus (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Win vs Rafael Sarubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Alves (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Guimarães (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Makai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Eduardo Cardoso Pinheiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs João Foltran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thales Paiva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Raul Carlin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Danny Mesias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mateus Batista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Ramírez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luiz Filipe Rodrigues (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thayna Minuzzo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Vitor Castro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Draw |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Mirachi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Flores (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Felipe Loreto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Danny Mesias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Merenda (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs guilherme esteves de sá (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs igor pinheiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Makai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.