Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Sarubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raimen Lopes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs João Foltran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Cebollada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Danton Lima (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.