Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Flores (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs DANIEL DE MENEZES (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mateus Batista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fernando Falquetto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.