Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: São Paulo 2026

Dorinthea Ironsong

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Diego Velazquez

46th • 7-5-0

50%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

10:90

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

10:90

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Stefano Sobreira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.18
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.97
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Luís Mateus Bossi

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Flores (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs DANIEL DE MENEZES (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

10:90

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Win	✗	0.89	0.46
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Win	✗	0.89	0.92
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.63
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Felipe Loreto

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mateus Batista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs João Pedro Mossarelli Mofatto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Gabarron (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Fernando Falquetto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.00
R7	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.