Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Victor Bohrer Munhoz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 21:79
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 14:86
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fabio Nozza (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 5:95
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs YURI PIMENTEL (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 5% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.