Pleiades, Superstar at Calling: São Paulo 2026
Pleiades, Superstar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Barreto Filho (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Round 2: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mathias Medina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.